V-Lab
Apex Ecotech Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
47.97%
1 Week
51.15%
1 Month
56.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1066 | 3.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6628 | 10.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1066 | -2.47** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.3144 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5702 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.716
Half-life:
2 days
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