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V-Lab
V-Lab

Apex Ecotech Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

63.79%

increased by 10.49%

1 Week

63.07%

increased by 9.77%

1 Month

62.27%

increased by 8.97%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Apex Ecotech Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Oct 1, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.85 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 5.85 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.2087
2.01**
αARCH0.1456
1.09
βGARCH0.7503
3.16***
νDF5.8545
0.34

0.750

Persistence

2d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.2087
2.01**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1456
1.09
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7503
3.16***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.8545
0.34

Persistence:

0.750

Half-life:

2 days