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V-Lab

Apex Ecotech Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

65.93%

increased by 1.17%

1 Week

64.90%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

63.73%

decreased by 1.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Apex Ecotech Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.8402
6.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1602
4.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7595
12.76***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4366
1.65*

Persistence:

0.760

Half-life:

3 days