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V-Lab
V-Lab

Apex Ecotech Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

55.36%

decreased by 5.93%

1 Week

57.63%

decreased by 3.66%

1 Month

59.96%

decreased by 1.33%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 04:32 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Apex Ecotech Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.95 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 6.95 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run15.5021
2.72***
αscore0.1449
1.26
βpersistence0.7482
3.58***
νDF6.9463
0.31

0.748

Persistence

2d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

15.5021
2.72***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1449
1.26
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.7482
3.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.9463
0.31

Persistence:

0.748

Half-life:

2 days