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	param	t-stat
$m$	111
$α$	0.0145	6.33
$β$	0.8167	111.69
$γ$	0.1497	19.06
$λ_{1}$	0.4972	3.02
$λ_{2}$	0.9312	4.65
$λ_{3}$	0.0000	0.00

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Assured Guaranty Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:23.81% (-1.11%)

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News Impact Curve

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