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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.7896	5.20
$α$	0.0923	5.45
$β$	0.8477	36.96
$γ_{1}$	0.5499	5.06
$γ_{2}$	-0.8238	-4.42
$γ_{3}$	0.1986	1.31
$γ_{4}$	0.1803	1.52
$γ_{5}$	-0.1619	-1.51
$γ_{6}$	0.2216	1.88
$γ_{7}$	-0.3626	-2.80
$γ_{8}$	0.2823	2.74

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Assured Guaranty Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:21.85% (-0.34%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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