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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0218	9.82
$α$	0.0439	13.42
$β$	0.9561	375.83
$γ$	0.6013	11.96
$δ$	1.4380	25.84

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Assured Guaranty Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:22.86% (-0.50%)

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