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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.7966	5.25
$α$	0.0925	5.46
$β$	0.8471	36.88
$γ_{1}$	0.5597	5.16
$γ_{2}$	-0.8395	-4.51
$γ_{3}$	0.2071	1.37
$γ_{4}$	0.1783	1.50
$γ_{5}$	-0.1646	-1.53
$γ_{6}$	0.2275	1.83
$γ_{7}$	-0.3734	-2.34
$γ_{8}$	0.3070	1.25

V-Lab

Assured Guaranty Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:20.82% (-0.73%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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