V-Lab
Boeing Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
33.41%
increased by 5.46%
1 Week
33.56%
increased by 5.61%
1 Month
34.05%
increased by 6.10%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 04:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 226% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 226% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0318 | 4.05*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8899 | 71.31*** |
| γleverage | 0.0720 | 5.24*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0142 | 1.20 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0197 | 1.36 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9767 | 59.64*** |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0318 | 4.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8899 | 71.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0720 | 5.24*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0142 | 1.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0197 | 1.36 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9767 | 59.64*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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