V-Lab
Boeing Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
41.44%
decreased by 1.74%
1 Week
41.02%
decreased by 2.16%
1 Month
39.74%
decreased by 3.44%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 229% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 229% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0314 | 4.01*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8905 | 71.74*** |
| γleverage | 0.0719 | 5.27*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0141 | 1.20 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0199 | 1.37 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9766 | 59.96*** |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0314 | 4.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8905 | 71.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0719 | 5.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0141 | 1.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0199 | 1.37 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9766 | 59.96*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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