V-Lab
Nissha Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.68%
decreased by 8.32%
1 Week
37.35%
decreased by 7.65%
1 Month
37.77%
decreased by 7.23%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 18, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2228 | 10.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3650 | 13.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0284 | 1.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.7061 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.602
Half-life:
1 days
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