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V-Lab

Nissha Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.68%

decreased by 8.32%

1 Week

37.35%

decreased by 7.65%

1 Month

37.77%

decreased by 7.23%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nissha Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2228
10.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3650
13.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0284
1.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.7061
0.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.602

Half-life:

1 days