Skip to main content
V-Lab

Nissha Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

33.22%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

35.90%

increased by 2.04%

1 Month

37.52%

increased by 3.66%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nissha Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2295
10.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3606
13.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0305
1.11
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.7529
0.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.605

Half-life:

1 days