V-Lab
Nissha Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.72%
decreased by 9.30%
1 Week
36.77%
decreased by 9.25%
1 Month
36.80%
decreased by 9.22%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 18, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.3766 | 14.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1648 | 6.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6298 | 31.59*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.0649 | 2.49** |
Persistence:
0.630
Half-life:
1 days
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