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V-Lab

Hwacom Systems Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

86.87%

increased by 25.03%

1 Week

69.24%

increased by 7.40%

1 Month

59.13%

decreased by 2.71%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hwacom Systems Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1672
15.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3654
10.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0007
-0.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5108
0.84
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1201
0.92
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7929
3.54***

Persistence:

0.532

Half-life:

1 days