V-Lab
Hwacom Systems Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
86.87%
increased by 25.03%
1 Week
69.24%
increased by 7.40%
1 Month
59.13%
decreased by 2.71%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1672 | 15.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3654 | 10.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0007 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5108 | 0.84 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1201 | 0.92 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7929 | 3.54*** |
Persistence:
0.532
Half-life:
1 days
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