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V-Lab

Hwacom Systems Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

68.70%

increased by 9.56%

1 Week

66.84%

increased by 7.70%

1 Month

60.77%

increased by 1.63%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Hwacom Systems Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 75% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2486
15.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0985
15.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8815
196.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0421
-4.75***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days