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V-Lab

Onex Corp (Japan) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

48.83%

decreased by 6.57%

1 Week

51.15%

decreased by 4.25%

1 Month

56.74%

increased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Onex Corp (Japan) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2329
17.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6421
47.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0032
0.17
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0161
3.22***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0108
7.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9881
535.26***

Persistence:

0.877

Half-life:

5 days