V-Lab
Onex Corp (Japan) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
48.83%
decreased by 6.57%
1 Week
51.15%
decreased by 4.25%
1 Month
56.74%
increased by 1.34%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2329 | 17.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6421 | 47.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0032 | 0.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0161 | 3.22*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0108 | 7.37*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9881 | 535.26*** |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
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