V-Lab
Onex Corp (Japan) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
61.19%
decreased by 6.23%
1 Week
63.77%
decreased by 3.65%
1 Month
71.16%
increased by 3.74%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2130 | 16.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6819 | 49.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0079 | 0.43 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0137 | 3.39*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0101 | 7.80*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9891 | 612.04*** |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
6 days
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