Onex Corp (Japan) Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
38.86%
decreased by 2.50%
1 Week
42.59%
increased by 1.23%
1 Month
49.96%
increased by 8.60%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1266 | 3.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2045 | 5.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7005 | 15.25*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.1933 | -3.48*** |
| γ2 | 0.2821 | 3.36*** |
| γ3 | -0.0794 | -1.08 |
| γ4 | -0.0954 | -1.19 |
| γ5 | 0.1762 | 2.05** |
| γ6 | -0.1860 | -2.31** |
| γ7 | 0.2273 | 3.33*** |
| γ8 | -0.1959 | -4.14*** |
Persistence:
0.905
Half-life:
7 days
Other Onex Corp (Japan) Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities