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Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

47.23%

decreased by 6.13%

1 Week

49.79%

decreased by 3.57%

1 Month

58.08%

increased by 4.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 1997 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.33 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-lifev = 2.33 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst40.4890
0.65
αARCH0.1125
14.93***
βGARCH0.9842
40.30***
νDF2.3304
23.34***

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

40.4890
0.65
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1125
14.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9842
40.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3304
23.34***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days