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Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

52.30%

decreased by 5.68%

1 Week

54.01%

decreased by 3.97%

1 Month

59.78%

increased by 1.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.33 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 43-day half-lifev = 2.33 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run40.0546
0.65
αscore0.1123
14.84***
βpersistence0.9841
40.07***
νDF2.3311
23.13***

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

40.0546
0.65
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1123
14.84***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9841
40.07***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3311
23.13***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days