V-Lab
Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
37.80%
decreased by 2.62%
1 Week
41.23%
increased by 0.81%
1 Month
51.76%
increased by 11.34%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 1997 to Oct 5, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.33 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-lifev = 2.33 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 40.3226 | 0.65 |
| αARCH | 0.1124 | 14.96*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9842 | 40.34*** |
| νDF | 2.3297 | 23.40*** |
0.984
Persistence44d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 40.3226 | 0.65 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1124 | 14.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9842 | 40.34*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.3297 | 23.40*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
Other Onex Corp (Japan) Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities