Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
57.54%
decreased by 8.22%
1 Week
59.29%
decreased by 6.47%
1 Month
65.19%
decreased by 0.57%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.35 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 39.3045 | 2.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1135 | 59.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9843 | 163.86*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.3486 | 90.04*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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