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Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

37.80%

decreased by 2.62%

1 Week

41.23%

increased by 0.81%

1 Month

51.76%

increased by 11.34%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onex Corp (Japan) GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 1997 to Oct 5, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.33 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-lifev = 2.33 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst40.3226
0.65
αARCH0.1124
14.96***
βGARCH0.9842
40.34***
νDF2.3297
23.40***

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

40.3226
0.65
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1124
14.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9842
40.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3297
23.40***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days