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V-Lab

Asaka Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

31.32%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

32.58%

increased by 0.28%

1 Month

35.60%

increased by 3.30%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Asaka Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1157
14.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7606
49.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0180
1.50
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0097
2.72***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0209
4.05***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9789
173.79***

Persistence:

0.885

Half-life:

6 days