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V-Lab

Dyc Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

82.61%

increased by 19.60%

1 Week

99.83%

increased by 36.82%

1 Month

127.46%

increased by 64.45%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:45 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Dyc Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 20, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 368% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1357
5.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2502
3.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
4.00***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2771
1.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
1.45
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.636

Half-life:

2 days