V-Lab
Dyc Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
82.61%
increased by 19.60%
1 Week
99.83%
increased by 36.82%
1 Month
127.46%
increased by 64.45%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:45 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 20, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 368% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1357 | 5.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2502 | 3.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 4.00*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2771 | 1.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 1.45 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.636
Half-life:
2 days
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