V-Lab
Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
42.98%
1 Week
44.76%
1 Month
46.87%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 14, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3754 | 7.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5163 | 7.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3615 | -8.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.1750 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1915 | 0.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5862 | 0.15 |
Persistence:
0.711
Half-life:
2 days
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