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V-Lab

Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.43%

decreased by 1.82%

1 Week

43.50%

increased by 0.25%

1 Month

46.09%

increased by 2.84%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 14, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.9231
6.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2038
7.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7977
25.98***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8067
4.70***

Persistence:

0.798

Half-life:

3 days