V-Lab
Xi'An Peri Power Semiconductor Converting Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
53.97%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Week
55.91%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
59.99%
increased by 4.34%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0815 | 9.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8281 | 42.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0009 | 0.09 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7034 | 0.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2124 | 0.22 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6447 | 0.40 |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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