Xi'An Peri Power Semiconductor Converting Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
72.97%
increased by 7.36%
1 Week
72.28%
increased by 6.67%
1 Month
69.95%
increased by 4.34%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4324 | 7.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0853 | 7.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8915 | 116.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0138 | -0.84 |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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