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V-Lab

Garden Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

10.06%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

10.71%

increased by 0.53%

1 Month

11.07%

increased by 0.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Garden Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8850
3.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1582
1.85*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4074
1.42
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-5.5470
-1.02
γ212.6617
1.53
γ3-13.7006
-2.58***
γ411.0428
2.99***

Persistence:

0.566

Half-life:

1 days