V-Lab
Garden Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
9.01%
increased by 0.09%
1 Week
9.28%
increased by 0.36%
1 Month
9.12%
increased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7401 | 35.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1017 | 6.01*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2256 | 2.16** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6533 | 3.48*** |
Persistence:
0.791
Half-life:
3 days
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