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V-Lab

Garden Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

9.01%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

9.28%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

9.12%

increased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Garden Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7401
35.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1017
6.01***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2256
2.16**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6533
3.48***

Persistence:

0.791

Half-life:

3 days