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V-Lab

Sunspring Metal Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

22.31%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

22.90%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

24.13%

increased by 1.39%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunspring Metal Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2007 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1047
13.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6698
18.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0084
0.98
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1810
1.10
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1235
0.91
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8316
4.80***

Persistence:

0.779

Half-life:

3 days