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V-Lab

Nestle SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22.53%

increased by 1.58%

1 Week

27.67%

increased by 6.72%

1 Month

30.03%

increased by 9.08%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nestle SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 11, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4590
15.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1560
2.56**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.7175
0.66
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0104
0.01

Persistence:

0.537

Half-life:

1 days