Nestle SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
20.62%
decreased by 5.08%
1 Week
28.73%
increased by 3.03%
1 Month
34.59%
increased by 8.89%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 11, 2018 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 264% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5448 | 26.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2849 | 5.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0506 | 3.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.7519 | 5.16*** |
Persistence:
0.711
Half-life:
2 days
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