Skip to main content
V-Lab

Nestle SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

21.91%

increased by 1.42%

1 Week

29.23%

increased by 8.74%

1 Month

34.20%

increased by 13.71%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nestle SA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 11, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6152
27.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4063
6.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0274
2.09**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5031
3.70***

Persistence:

0.685

Half-life:

2 days