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V-Lab

Nestle SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

20.62%

decreased by 5.08%

1 Week

28.73%

increased by 3.03%

1 Month

34.59%

increased by 8.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nestle SA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 11, 2018 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 264% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5448
26.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2849
5.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0506
3.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7519
5.16***

Persistence:

0.711

Half-life:

2 days