V-Lab
Kingboard Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
67.95%
decreased by 3.96%
1 Week
67.60%
decreased by 4.31%
1 Month
66.78%
decreased by 5.13%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 67% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0951 | 25.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7621 | 90.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0639 | 9.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0255 | 4.27*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0164 | 7.18*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9808 | 356.67*** |
Persistence:
0.889
Half-life:
6 days
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