V-Lab
Kingboard Holdings Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
62.29%
decreased by 3.46%
1 Week
60.54%
decreased by 5.21%
1 Month
56.30%
decreased by 9.45%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9751 | 4.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1193 | 8.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7900 | 34.75*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.0170 | 0.23 |
| γ2 | -0.1004 | -1.00 |
| γ3 | 0.1288 | 1.86* |
| γ4 | -0.0012 | -0.02 |
| γ5 | -0.1158 | -1.93* |
| γ6 | 0.0681 | 1.15 |
| γ7 | 0.0914 | 1.70* |
| γ8 | -0.1622 | -3.21*** |
| γ9 | 0.1228 | 2.43** |
| γ10 | -0.0737 | -1.94* |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
Other Kingboard Holdings Ltd Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities