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V-Lab

I-Hwa Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

39.98%

increased by 8.98%

1 Week

38.53%

increased by 7.53%

1 Month

38.12%

increased by 7.12%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of I-Hwa Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 43% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2154
29.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5498
31.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0644
-8.12***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1039
2.79***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0794
3.24***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9120
34.83***

Persistence:

0.733

Half-life:

2 days