V-Lab
DSR Wire Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
38.20%
decreased by 3.20%
1 Week
41.77%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
45.13%
increased by 3.73%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1881 | 17.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5518 | 25.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0232 | -1.26 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.3670 | 0.54 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7934 | 0.51 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.728
Half-life:
2 days
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