V-Lab
DSR Wire Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
45.37%
decreased by 6.37%
1 Week
46.17%
decreased by 5.57%
1 Month
48.92%
decreased by 2.82%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.35 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 16.9373 | 5.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1271 | 66.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9832 | 339.85*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3454 | 41.14*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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