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V-Lab

Taeyang Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

19.93%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

21.96%

increased by 1.18%

1 Month

26.04%

increased by 5.26%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taeyang Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1856
17.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7270
48.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0280
-1.90*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.5654
3.08***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6512
5.39***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

6 days