V-Lab
Taeyang Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
19.93%
decreased by 0.85%
1 Week
21.96%
increased by 1.18%
1 Month
26.04%
increased by 5.26%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1856 | 17.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7270 | 48.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0280 | -1.90* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5654 | 3.08*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6512 | 5.39*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
6 days
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