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V-Lab

Taeyang Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

19.54%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

20.20%

increased by 0.63%

1 Month

21.92%

increased by 2.35%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taeyang Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0252
5.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1879
4.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7527
15.95***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.0386
2.56**
γ2-0.0594
-2.76***
γ30.0336
3.24***

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days