V-Lab
Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
44.09%
decreased by 3.44%
1 Week
45.14%
decreased by 2.39%
1 Month
46.03%
decreased by 1.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 95% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0651 | 7.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6876 | 11.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0619 | 5.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.5497 | 0.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4241 | 0.30 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.784
Half-life:
3 days
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