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V-Lab

Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

44.09%

decreased by 3.44%

1 Week

45.14%

decreased by 2.39%

1 Month

46.03%

decreased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 95% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0651
7.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6876
11.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0619
5.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.5497
0.32
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4241
0.30
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.784

Half-life:

3 days