V-Lab
Zelio E Mobility Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026
1 Day
17,592.12
increased by 13,783.52
1 Week
6,259.03
increased by 2,450.43
1 Month
3,751.91
decreased by 56.69
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.2569 | 5.79*** |
| αARCH | 0.4614 | 3.60*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.3753 | 0.35 |
0.461
Persistence1d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2569 | 5.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4614 | 3.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.3753 | 0.35 |
Persistence:
0.461
Half-life:
1 days
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