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V-Lab

Zelio E Mobility Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

17,592.12

increased by 13,783.52

1 Week

6,259.03

increased by 2,450.43

1 Month

3,751.91

decreased by 56.69

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Zelio E Mobility Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.2569
5.79***
αARCH0.4614
3.60***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.3753
0.35

0.461

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2569
5.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4614
3.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.3753
0.35

Persistence:

0.461

Half-life:

1 days