V-Lab
Wolfspeed Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
765.90
decreased by 22.41
1 Week
658.16
decreased by 130.15
1 Month
527.97
decreased by 260.34
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:40 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5590 trading days (~22.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~5590 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9626 | 4.63*** |
| αARCH | 0.2832 | 6.13*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7166 | 15.57*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -6.1588 | -1.10 |
1.000
Persistence5590d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9626 | 4.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2832 | 6.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7166 | 15.57*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -6.1588 | -1.10 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5590 days
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