Skip to main content
V-Lab

Watawala Plantations Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

10,528.03

increased by 6,633.13

1 Week

5,754.62

increased by 1,859.72

1 Month

3,227.25

decreased by 667.65

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Watawala Plantations Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 48 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.5708
2.57**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2525
6.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7330
22.96***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.1608
1.86*
γ2-2.3779
-2.47**
γ32.4646
4.21***
γ4-1.4754
-2.59***
γ5-0.3977
-0.69
γ61.4378
3.11***
γ7-2.0203
-4.37***
γ82.0504
3.62***
γ9-1.1765
-2.30**
γ100.9799
2.15**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days