V-Lab
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
5,833.04
increased by 99.30
1 Week
5,604.09
decreased by 129.65
1 Month
4,961.25
decreased by 772.49
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 12, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1079 trading days (~4.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6925 | 3.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1935 | 24.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8059 | 103.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0858 | -2.72*** |
| γ2 | 0.1177 | 2.76*** |
| γ3 | -0.0403 | -1.26 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1079 days
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