V-Lab
Village Super Market Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
6,216.44
increased by 597.87
1 Week
5,663.84
increased by 45.27
1 Month
5,558.69
decreased by 59.88
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0776 | 5.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0917 | 8.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8705 | 54.36*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -0.3412 | -5.16*** |
| γ2 | 0.5403 | 5.11*** |
| γ3 | -0.3969 | -4.70*** |
| γ4 | 0.3914 | 5.42*** |
| γ5 | -0.2723 | -5.03*** |
| γ6 | 0.1038 | 2.31** |
| γ7 | 0.0018 | 0.04 |
| γ8 | -0.0235 | -0.58 |
| γ9 | -0.1134 | -2.08** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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