V-Lab
Viva Wine Group AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
11,369.65
increased by 7,966.58
1 Week
5,903.00
increased by 2,499.93
1 Month
3,104.29
decreased by 298.78
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 14, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1601 | 8.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2050 | 6.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7168 | 15.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.3288 | -8.07*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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