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V-Lab

Viva Wine Group AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

11,369.65

increased by 7,966.58

1 Week

5,903.00

increased by 2,499.93

1 Month

3,104.29

decreased by 298.78

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Viva Wine Group AB ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 14, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1601
8.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2050
6.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7168
15.90***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.3288
-8.07***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days