V-Lab
Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
78,316.63
decreased by 8,924.81
1 Week
90,655.01
increased by 3,413.57
1 Month
90,899.30
increased by 3,657.86
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 145 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7423 | 2.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2182 | 10.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7770 | 38.44*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1642 | -2.38** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
145 days
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