Skip to main content
V-Lab

Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

78,316.63

decreased by 8,924.81

1 Week

90,655.01

increased by 3,413.57

1 Month

90,899.30

increased by 3,657.86

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 145 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7423
2.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2182
10.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7770
38.44***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1642
-2.38**

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

145 days