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Vinsys IT Services India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

10,551.73

increased by 5,142.75

1 Week

5,804.40

increased by 395.42

1 Month

4,536.50

decreased by 872.48

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vinsys IT Services India Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 11, 2023 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3413
5.94***
αARCH0.2095
4.01***
βGARCH0.6934
11.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0788
-0.69

0.903

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3413
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2095
4.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6934
11.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0788
-0.69

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days