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V-Lab

Vietnam International Commer Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

0.07

increased by 0.01

1 Week

0.08

increased by 0.02

1 Month

0.08

increased by 0.02

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam International Commer ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2020 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.0287
6.00***
αARCH0.2047
3.05***
βGARCH0.7421
11.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0605
1.94*

0.947

Persistence

13d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.0287
6.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2047
3.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7421
11.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0605
1.94*

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days