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Virtual Galaxy Infotech Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

4,058.73

increased by 30.61

1 Week

3,959.33

decreased by 68.79

1 Month

4,073.10

increased by 44.98

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Virtual Galaxy Infotech Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 19, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8352
7.15***
αARCH0.0674
1.79*
βGARCH0.8047
5.64***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.5703
-3.00***

0.872

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8352
7.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0674
1.79*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8047
5.64***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.5703
-3.00***

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days