V-Lab
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
20,046.51
increased by 1,309.25
1 Week
19,572.45
increased by 835.19
1 Month
20,042.71
increased by 1,305.45
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:45 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2016 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 146 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9976 | 1.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0534 | 5.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9418 | 66.75*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0150 | -0.50 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
146 days
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