V-Lab
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
18,818.14
1 Week
19,555.34
1 Month
20,470.29
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 67% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.23 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0412 | 13.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9450 | 383.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0276 | 3.89*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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