V-Lab
Vaishali Pharma Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
16,589.43
decreased by 4,295.67
1 Week
18,603.67
decreased by 2,281.43
1 Month
26,627.00
increased by 5,741.90
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1776 | 3.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2749 | 7.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6665 | 17.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -1.5112 | -3.97*** |
| γ2 | 1.9814 | 3.68*** |
| γ3 | -0.1328 | -0.38 |
| γ4 | 0.0608 | 0.18 |
| γ5 | -0.2514 | -0.50 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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