V-Lab
Urban Enviro Waste Managemen Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
12,720.25
increased by 5,953.33
1 Week
7,917.38
increased by 1,150.46
1 Month
6,942.09
increased by 175.17
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 22, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4606 | 7.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2457 | 5.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6273 | 9.19*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.2452 | 2.89*** |
Persistence:
0.873
Half-life:
5 days
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