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Financiere de Tubize SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

2,904.16

decreased by 211.73

1 Week

2,786.93

decreased by 328.96

1 Month

3,632.56

increased by 516.67

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Financiere de Tubize SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 30, 1994 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7964
3.14***
αARCH0.1105
10.78***
βGARCH0.8648
62.33***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0231
0.22
γ20.0773
0.50
γ3-0.4462
-3.63***
γ40.7484
6.88***
γ5-0.7101
-10.19***
γ60.5104
5.90***
γ7-0.2886
-3.39***
γ80.1388
1.94*
γ9-0.1465
-2.03**
γ100.0726
0.71

0.975

Persistence

28d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7964
3.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1105
10.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8648
62.33***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0231
0.22
γ20.0773
0.50
γ3-0.4462
-3.63***
γ40.7484
6.88***
γ5-0.7101
-10.19***
γ60.5104
5.90***
γ7-0.2886
-3.39***
γ80.1388
1.94*
γ9-0.1465
-2.03**
γ100.0726
0.71

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days