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Financiere de Tubize SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

3,647.29

decreased by 281.62

1 Week

4,259.76

increased by 330.85

1 Month

3,758.10

decreased by 170.81

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Financiere de Tubize SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 30, 1994 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7944
3.13***
αARCH0.1105
10.79***
βGARCH0.8648
62.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0217
0.20
γ20.0807
0.52
γ3-0.4499
-3.65***
γ40.7510
6.94***
γ5-0.7116
-10.23***
γ60.5111
5.80***
γ7-0.2875
-3.33***
γ80.1373
1.90*
γ9-0.1479
-2.03**
γ100.0923
0.90

0.975

Persistence

28d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7944
3.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1105
10.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8648
62.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0217
0.20
γ20.0807
0.52
γ3-0.4499
-3.65***
γ40.7510
6.94***
γ5-0.7116
-10.23***
γ60.5111
5.80***
γ7-0.2875
-3.33***
γ80.1373
1.90*
γ9-0.1479
-2.03**
γ100.0923
0.90

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days