V-Lab
Triton Valves Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
4,766.32
decreased by 721.77
1 Week
5,804.21
increased by 316.12
1 Month
5,858.78
increased by 370.69
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3767 trading days (~14.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9819 | 6.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1624 | 10.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8374 | 52.19*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.5305 | -3.04*** |
| γ2 | 0.7245 | 2.90*** |
| γ3 | -0.1417 | -0.67 |
| γ4 | -0.3359 | -1.06 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3767 days
Other Triton Valves Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities