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Triton Valves Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

4,766.32

decreased by 721.77

1 Week

5,804.21

increased by 316.12

1 Month

5,858.78

increased by 370.69

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Triton Valves Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3767 trading days (~14.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9819
6.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1624
10.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8374
52.19***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.5305
-3.04***
γ20.7245
2.90***
γ3-0.1417
-0.67
γ4-0.3359
-1.06

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3767 days