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V-Lab

C.N. Transelectrica S.A. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

11,094.82

decreased by 845.98

1 Week

13,237.09

increased by 1,296.29

1 Month

12,343.36

increased by 402.56

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of C.N. Transelectrica S.A. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 8, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 53 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6434
3.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0955
6.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8915
52.51***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.1224
0.71
γ2-0.5041
-2.02**
γ30.6923
6.33***
γ4-0.4433
-4.16***
γ50.1555
1.47
γ6-0.1506
-1.16

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days